How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
40′⚽0–1
ND
Lee Han-Beomfor Valdemar Byskov⇅
46′
A. Simsirfor Philip Billing⇅
46′
Junior Brumadobooked▮
51′
52′⚽0–2
RY
Ryan YatesNottingham Forest’s chances ▲ 15%
Cho Gue-Sungfor Junior Brumado⇅
56′
61′
⇅Murillofor Nikola Milenkovic
61′
⇅N. Williamsfor Dan Ndoye
61′
⇅M. Gibbs-Whitefor Omari Hutchinson
ME
Martin ErlicFC Midtjylland’s chances ▲ 14%
69′⚽1–2
Dario Osoriobooked▮
71′
75′
⇅O. Ainafor Dilane Bakwa
75′
⇅E. Andersonfor James McAtee
Pedro Bravobooked▮
88′
A. Gabrielfor Ousmane Diao⇅
91′
91′
⇅I. Sangarefor Nicolas Dominguez
94′
▮Murillobooked
Martin Erlicbooked▮
103′
E. Chilufyafor Dario Osorio⇅
103′
114′
▮Elliot Andersonbooked
119′
VARGoal Under Review - offsideVAR decision
119′
VARGoal Disallowed - offsideRyan Yates
Match stats
FC MidtjyllandNottingham Forest
Possession
52%
48%
Shots (on target)
12 (3)
20 (8)
Expected goals (xG)
0.67
2.03
Pass accuracy
75%
76%
FC Midtjylland4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland XI €56M€188M Nottingham Forest XI
Nottingham Forest’s starting XI cost €132M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
SO
6.3🇩🇪Ortega
6.3🇩🇪OrtegaMO
6.4🇧🇷Morato
6.4🇧🇷Morato
ZA
6.9🏴Abbott
6.9🏴AbbottRY7.4🏴Yates
7.4🏴Yates
LL6.3🇮🇹Lucca
EÓ8.7🇮🇸Ólafsson
VJ5.2🇩🇰Jensen
MS6.9🇩🇰Sørensen
ME7.1🇭🇷Erlić
PB6.0🇨🇴Bravo
DC6.4🇪🇨Castillo
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · FC Midtjylland 52% · Nottingham Forest 48%
FC MidtjyllandNottingham Forest
Shots (on target)
12 (3)
20 (8)
Shots (in box)
7 (5)
13 (7)
Expected goals (xG)
0.67
2.03
Big chances
1
2
Pass accuracy
75%
76%
Corners
4
11
Fouls
22
16
Saves
7
2
xG race
FC Midtjylland0.70Nottingham Forest2.02
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
FC Midtjylland0.7 xG · 12 shots · 1 goal
- 25′Header · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.01
- 46′OsorioLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 60′CastilloHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.26
- 68′Header · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 69′1ErlicLeft foot · Open playGoalxG 0.09
- 74′OsorioLeft foot · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.02
- 81′BravoRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 81′Left foot · Open playOn targetxG 0.06
- 83′CastilloHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.11
- 105′Left foot · Open playOn targetxG 0.03
- 113′GabrielHeader · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.01
- 120′BravoRight foot · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.01
🧤 Ortega stopped 2 of 3 on target
Nottingham Forest2.0 xG · 20 shots · 2 goals
- 2′BakwaLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 22′Right foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 23′DominguezHeader · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.11
- 26′YatesLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.21
- 31′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.42
- 32′YatesHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.10
- 34′Left foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 39′BakwaLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 40′Left foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.02
- 41′1DominguezHeader · From a cornerGoalxG 0.15
- 45′HutchinsonRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.08
- 52′2YatesLeft foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.04
- 57′Left foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.03
- 64′DominguezRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.02
- 79′Gibbs-WhiteLeft foot · Fast breakOn targetxG 0.20
- 85′Right foot · Fast breakOn targetxG 0.19
- 86′Gibbs-WhiteRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.02
- 86′YatesHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.04
- 98′YatesLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 120′Gibbs-WhiteHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.20
🧤 Ólafsson stopped 7 of 8 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
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