How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
Ruben Diasbooked▮
17′
46′
⇅I. Matanovicfor Ante Budimir
53′⚽0–1
IP
60′
▮Luka Modricbooked
Goal Disallowed - offsideCristiano RonaldoVAR
61′
Goal Under Review - offsideVAR decisionVAR
61′
F. Conceicaofor Pedro Neto⇅
62′
B. Silvafor Vitinha⇅
62′
N. Semedofor Bruno Fernandes⇅
63′
G. Ramosfor Joao Cancelo⇅
63′
CR
68′⚽1–1
68′
⇅M. Pasalicfor Martin Baturina
81′
VARGoal Under Review - offsideVAR decision
81′
VARGoal Disallowed - offsidePetar Sucic
R. Nevesfor Cristiano Ronaldo⇅
81′
90+2′
⇅J. Gvardiolfor Nikola Vlasic
90+6′
⇅A. Kramaricfor Mateo Kovacic
90+8′
▮Ivan Perisicbooked
90+13′
VARGoal Disallowed - offsideJosko Gvardiol
GR
90′⚽2–1
Match stats
PortugalCroatia
Possession
60%
40%
Shots (on target)
15 (3)
13 (6)
Expected goals (xG)
2.20
1.34
Pass accuracy
91%
84%
Portugal4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1Croatia
Portugal XI €214M€160M Croatia XI
Portugal’s starting XI cost €55M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
DL6.5Livaković
IP7.2Perišić
MP6.3Pongračić
JŠ6.8Šutalo
JS6.3Stanišić
LM6.6Modrić
PS6.8Sučić
DC7.7Costa
NM
7.7Mendes
7.7MendesRV7.4Veiga
RD
7.7Dias
7.7Dias
JN
7.0Neves
7.0NevesRL
6.8Leão
6.8Leão
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market value⇅ subbed off
Portugal bench
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Portugal 60% · Croatia 40%
PortugalCroatia
Shots (on target)
15 (3)
13 (6)
Shots (in box)
10 (5)
10 (3)
Expected goals (xG)
2.20
1.34
Big chances
3
4
Pass accuracy
91%
84%
Corners
9
5
Fouls
6
12
Saves
5
2
xG race
Portugal2.29Croatia1.37
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
Portugal2.3 xG · 15 shots · 2 goals
- 4′Right foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.03
- 4′FernandesRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.27
- 4′FernandesRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.31
- 7′Right foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.04
- 13′Right foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.04
- 16′VeigaHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.15
- 24′Left foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.14
- 34′Right foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.02
- 45′LeaoRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.05
- 58′LeaoRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.07
- 68′1Right foot · PenaltyGoalxG 0.82
- 87′VeigaHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.18
- 90′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.06
- 90′2Header · AssistedGoalxG 0.07
- 90′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
🧤 Livaković stopped 2 of 3 on target
Croatia1.4 xG · 13 shots · 1 goal
- 3′BudimirLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.13
- 10′BudimirHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 28′BaturinaLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 48′KovacicLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.14
- 49′VlasicRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.02
- 53′1PerisicLeft foot · Open playGoalxG 0.22
- 59′SucicRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.09
- 75′KovacicRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.08
- 75′KovacicRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 76′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.07
- 77′Right foot · Open playOn targetxG 0.24
- 89′PasalicHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.16
- 90′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.10
🧤 Costa stopped 5 of 6 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
How we rate →