How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
42′⚽0–1
JE
Julio EncisoParaguay’s chances ▲ 27%
Leon Goretzkafor Felix Nmecha⇅
45′
KH
54′⚽1–1
55′
⇅G. Caballerofor Gabriel Avalos
57′
⇅Mauriciofor Julio Enciso
J. Musialafor Deniz Undav⇅
63′
65′
▮Adrian Cubasbooked
W. Antonfor Aleksandar Pavlovic⇅
79′
Nick Woltemadefor Leroy Sane⇅
88′
90′
⇅Gustavo Velázquezfor Miguel Almiron
99′
⇅B. Ojedafor J. Caceres
99′
⇅A. Sanabriafor Damian Bobadilla
Goal Disallowed - FoulJonathan TahVAR
102′
Goal Disallowed - FoulJonathan TahVAR
103′
Goal cancelledJonathan TahVAR
104′
J. Nagelsmannbooked▮
105+1′
105′
▮G. Alfarobooked
Kai Havertzbooked▮
106′
Julian Nagelsmannbooked▮
106′
booked▮
109′
M. Thiawfor Antonio Rudiger⇅
110′
N. Amirifor Florian Wirtz⇅
110′
110′
▮booked
Jamal Musialabooked▮
115′
118′
▮Matias Galarzabooked
120+2′
⇅Fabian Balbuenafor Junior Alonso
122′
⇅Fabián Balbuenafor Junior Alonso
Match stats
GermanyParaguay
Possession
76%
24%
Shots (on target)
21 (6)
7 (3)
Expected goals (xG)
1.57
0.35
Pass accuracy
90%
63%
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Germany 76% · Paraguay 24%
GermanyParaguay
Shots (on target)
21 (6)
7 (3)
Shots (in box)
11 (10)
6 (1)
Expected goals (xG)
1.57
0.35
Big chances
2
3
Pass accuracy
90%
63%
Corners
16
6
Fouls
18
12
Saves
2
6
xG race
Germany1.54Paraguay0.42
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
Germany1.5 xG · 21 shots · 1 goal
- 6′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 8′WirtzRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.04
- 33′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 45′Left foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 45′Right foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 54′1Header · AssistedGoalxG 0.04
- 56′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.07
- 56′Right foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.21
- 66′SaneLeft foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.04
- 78′Header · AssistedOn targetxG 0.12
- 80′WirtzRight foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.03
- 86′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.06
- 90′Header · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.02
- 90′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 93′WoltemadeLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.14
- 93′Right foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 97′WoltemadeLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.14
- 105′Header · AssistedOn targetxG 0.26
- 111′Right foot · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.01
- 119′AntonHeader · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.18
- 120′Right foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.03
🧤 Gill stopped 6 of 6 on target
Paraguay0.4 xG · 7 shots · 1 goal
- 1′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 2′Left foot · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.12
- 42′1Header · From a cornerGoalxG 0.06
- 50′Right foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.12
- 59′Header · AssistedOn targetxG 0.05
- 70′GomezHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 90′AlmironLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
🧤 Neuer stopped 2 of 3 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
How we rate →
YouTubeGermany vs Paraguay Highlights 🌎🏆 2026 FIFA World Cup™ | Round of 32
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