How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
7′⚽0–1
HU
HuguinhoBotafogo’s chances ▲ 22%
21′
▮Alvaro Montorobooked
Ademirfor Cristian Olivera⇅
25′
37′
▮Nahuel Ferraresibooked
Ademirsent off▮
38′
Ademirbooked▮
42′
43′
▮Cristian Medinabooked
Erickbooked▮
44′
45+2′
▮Netosent off
45+4′
⇅Raul Steffensfor Lucas Villalba
45+10′
▮Huguinhobooked
Everaldofor Erick Pulga⇅
46′
Everton Ribeirofor Caio Alexandre⇅
46′
NF
57′⚽1–1
M. Sanabriafor Ze Guilherme⇅
65′
M. Sanabriafor Ze Guilherme⇅
68′
74′
⇅Newtonfor Alvaro Montoro
74′
⇅S. Rodriguezfor Cristian Medina
75′
⇅Matheus Martinsfor Kauan Toledo
84′
▮Newtonbooked
David Duartebooked▮
90+3′
Marcos Victorfor Willian Jose⇅
90+4′
90+4′
⇅C. Ramosfor G. Justino
DD
90′⚽2–1
Match stats
BahiaBotafogo
Possession
69%
31%
Shots (on target)
24 (9)
13 (6)
Expected goals (xG)
2.46
1.00
Pass accuracy
87%
70%
Bahia4-3-3vs4-2-3-1Botafogo
NE
6.6🇧🇷Neto
6.6🇧🇷NetoAT
6.0🇧🇷Telles
6.0🇧🇷Telles
NF6.3🇻🇪Ferraresi
6.3🇻🇪FerraresiMP
6.8🇺🇾Ponte
6.8🇺🇾Ponte
HU7.7🇧🇷Huguinho
7.7🇧🇷Huguinho
AC
6.3🇧🇷Cabral
6.3🇧🇷CabralRO
7.5🇧🇷Ronaldo
7.5🇧🇷RonaldoJGGuilherme⇅ 65′
SM
6.9🇦🇷Mingo
6.9🇦🇷MingoDD8.0🇧🇷Duarte
8.0🇧🇷DuarteGI
6.9🇧🇷Gilberto
6.9🇧🇷GilbertoRN
8.0🇧🇷Nestor
8.0🇧🇷Nestor
ER
7.2🇧🇷Erick
7.2🇧🇷Erick
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Bahia 69% · Botafogo 31%
BahiaBotafogo
Shots (on target)
24 (9)
13 (6)
Shots (in box)
20 (4)
6 (7)
Expected goals (xG)
2.46
1.00
Big chances
3
4
Pass accuracy
87%
70%
Corners
10
4
Fouls
14
16
Saves
4
8
xG race
Bahia2.55Botafogo1.06
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
Bahia2.5 xG · 25 shots · 2 goals
- 12′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 18′Header · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.05
- 45′JoseLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.70
- 45′NestorLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 45′DuarteHeader · AssistedOn targetxG 0.02
- 45′Header · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.01
- 45′Header · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.03
- 45′PulgaLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 49′Left foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.02
- 50′NestorLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 57′1FerraresiRight foot · Open playGoalxG 0.10
- 63′AdemirLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.02
- 70′Right foot · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.20
- 71′NestorLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.04
- 71′Header · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 74′EveraldoRight foot · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.02
- 81′JoseLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.61
- 83′NestorLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.03
- 86′AdemirLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 90′RibeiroRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 90′RibeiroLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 90′ErickHeader · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.10
- 90′2DuarteRight foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.35
- 90′Header · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.03
- 90′NestorLeft foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.01
🧤 Neto stopped 8 of 9 on target
Botafogo1.1 xG · 13 shots · 1 goal
- 7′1Right foot · Open playGoalxG 0.01
- 7′ToledoRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 14′MontoroRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 14′MontoroRight foot · Fast breakOn targetxG 0.12
- 21′Right foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 30′Right foot · Open playOn targetxG 0.30
- 30′CabralRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.13
- 35′MontoroRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.01
- 43′TellesLeft foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.04
- 45′CabralRight foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.05
- 70′CabralRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 79′MartinsRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.15
- 90′CabralHeader · AssistedOn targetxG 0.14
🧤 Ronaldo stopped 4 of 6 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
How we rate →
HighlightsBahia 2 x 1 Botafogo | Highlights (FULL) | Brasileirão 2026
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