How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
LU
LucianoSao Paulo’s chances ▲ 21%
4′⚽1–0
Lucianobooked▮
27′
27′
▮G. Justinobooked
Pedro Ferreirafor Luciano⇅
30′
Luis Osoriofor Sabino⇅
44′
46′
⇅K. Barriafor Lucas Villalba
56′
VARGoal Under Review - offsideVAR decision
56′
VARGoal Disallowed - offsideArthur Cabral
61′
▮Alvaro Montorobooked
65′
⇅Edenilsonfor Alvaro Montoro
65′
⇅J. Barrerafor Kauan Toledo
G. Tapiafor Ferreira⇅
75′
Djhordneyfor Pedro Ferreira⇅
75′
76′
⇅J. Correafor Huguinho
Djhordneyfor Pedro Ferreira⇅
77′
Wendellbooked▮
80′
85′
▮Joaquin Correabooked
Rafaelbooked▮
86′
87′
⇅C. Ramosfor G. Justino
Gonzalo Tapiabooked▮
89′
90+2′
▮C. Ramosbooked
90′⚽1–1
JB
Match stats
Sao PauloBotafogo
Possession
54%
46%
Shots (on target)
14 (4)
14 (6)
Expected goals (xG)
1.63
0.77
Pass accuracy
82%
77%
Sao Paulo4-2-3-1vs4-4-2Botafogo
NE
6.0🇧🇷Neto
6.0🇧🇷NetoMA
7.4🇧🇷Marçal
7.4🇧🇷Marçal
NF
7.2🇻🇪Ferraresi
7.2🇻🇪FerraresiVI
7.1🇧🇷Vitinho
7.1🇧🇷Vitinho
SR
7.4🇺🇾Rodríguez
7.4🇺🇾Rodríguez
AC
6.4🇧🇷Cabral
6.4🇧🇷CabralRA
6.7🇧🇷Rafael
6.7🇧🇷RafaelWE
6.0🇧🇷Wendell
6.0🇧🇷Wendell
AF
6.6🇦🇷Franco
6.6🇦🇷FrancoLR
6.5🇧🇷Ramon
6.5🇧🇷RamonPM
6.3🇧🇷Maia
6.3🇧🇷MaiaDA
7.2🇧🇷Danielzinho
7.2🇧🇷Danielzinho
AR
7.7🇧🇷Artur
7.7🇧🇷ArturJC
7.4🇦🇷Calleri
7.4🇦🇷CalleriPitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Sao Paulo 54% · Botafogo 46%
Sao PauloBotafogo
Shots (on target)
14 (4)
14 (6)
Shots (in box)
11 (3)
9 (5)
Expected goals (xG)
1.63
0.77
Big chances
3
0
Pass accuracy
82%
77%
Corners
4
3
Fouls
20
19
Saves
5
3
xG race
Sao Paulo1.62Botafogo0.79
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
Sao Paulo1.6 xG · 14 shots · 1 goal
- 4′1LucianoLeft foot · Open playGoalxG 0.78
- 4′ArturLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.03
- 8′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.01
- 11′CalleriRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.02
- 11′FerreiraRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 14′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.10
- 37′ArturRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.06
- 37′CalleriRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.08
- 45′CalleriRight foot · Free kickOn targetxG 0.10
- 58′FerreiraRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.08
- 63′MaiaLeft foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.01
- 64′Left foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 79′Left foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.22
- 90′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.07
🧤 Neto stopped 3 of 4 on target
Botafogo0.8 xG · 14 shots · 1 goal
- 30′FerraresiHeader · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.01
- 35′CabralLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 57′BarriaRight foot · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.10
- 63′BarriaLeft foot · Fast breakOn targetxG 0.09
- 71′BarreraRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.03
- 77′BarriaHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 81′MarcalLeft foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.04
- 82′MarcalRight foot · Open playOn targetxG 0.04
- 83′BarriaHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.04
- 87′EdenilsonLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 90′BarriaHeader · Set pieceOn targetxG 0.02
- 90′MarcalHeader · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.03
- 90′1BarreraRight foot · From a cornerGoalxG 0.03
- 90′Right foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.26
🧤 Rafael stopped 5 of 6 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
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