How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
FE
FerroEstoril’s chances ▲ 23%
17′⚽1–0
booked▮
41′
Joao Carvalhobooked▮
41′
A. Lacximicantfor Rafik Guitane⇅
46′
54′⚽1–1
JB
Jakub BrabecRio Ave’s chances ▲ 28%
P. Amaralfor Pedro Carvalho⇅
58′
Jandrofor Xeka⇅
58′
booked▮
65′
74′⚽1–2
JB
Pizzifor Antef Tsoungui⇅
75′
Andre Lacximicantbooked▮
78′
78′
⇅Ryan Guilhermefor Ole Pohlmann
83′
⇅T. Monteirofor Dario Spikic
84′
▮booked
A. Marquesfor Jordan Holsgrove⇅
85′
85′
▮Nelson Abbeybooked
86′
▮booked
87′
▮Tamas Nikitscherbooked
90+3′
⇅J. Lombotofor Jalen Blesa
90+3′
⇅J. Tomefor Diogo Bezerra
90+8′
▮booked
Match stats
EstorilRio Ave
Possession
55%
45%
Shots (on target)
13 (4)
13 (8)
Expected goals (xG)
1.23
1.60
Pass accuracy
82%
79%
Estoril4-3-3vs4-2-3-1Rio Ave
Estoril XI €29M€12M Rio Ave XI
Estoril’s starting XI cost €17M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
EG
6.7🇳🇱Gouw
6.7🇳🇱GouwNA
7.0🏴Abbey
7.0🏴AbbeyGM
6.9🇧🇷Mancha
6.9🇧🇷ManchaJB7.6🇨🇿Brabec
7.6🇨🇿BrabecMV8.2🇬🇷Vrousai
AN6.9🇬🇷Ndoj
TN
6.9🇭🇺Nikitscher
6.9🇭🇺Nikitscher
JR
6.9🇪🇸Robles
6.9🇪🇸RoblesRS
7.2🇪🇸Sánchez
7.2🇪🇸SánchezFB6.9🇦🇹Bacher
FE7.9🇵🇹Ferro
7.9🇵🇹Ferro
JC
6.3🇵🇹Carvalho
6.3🇵🇹CarvalhoYB6.6🇲🇦Begraoui
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Estoril 55% · Rio Ave 45%
EstorilRio Ave
Shots (on target)
13 (4)
13 (8)
Expected goals (xG)
1.23
1.60
Pass accuracy
82%
79%
Corners
9
7
Fouls
15
10
Saves
5
3
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
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