How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
EV
19′⚽1–0
KD
K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati’s chances ▲ 16%
50′⚽2–0
Kei Kamarabooked▮
53′
55′⚽2–1
PZ
P. ZinckernagelChicago Fire’s chances ▲ 16%
G. Valenzuelafor K. Kamara⇅
68′
B. Smithfor L. Orellano⇅
73′
73′
⇅J. Deanfor L. Barroso
73′
⇅M. Haile-Selassiefor B. Gutierrez
76′
▮Jonathan Bambabooked
83′
⇅T. Barlowfor S. Oregel
83′
⇅O. Glasgowfor J. Bamba
Matthew Miazgabooked▮
83′
90+4′
⇅S. Williamsfor P. Zinckernagel
90+7′
▮Jack Elliottbooked
C. Bairdfor K. Denkey⇅
90′
T. Hadebefor Evander⇅
90′
Match stats
FC CincinnatiChicago Fire
Possession
47%
53%
Shots (on target)
13 (4)
15 (5)
Expected goals (xG)
0.94
0.68
Pass accuracy
88%
87%
FC CincinnativsChicago Fire
FC Cincinnati XI
Chicago Fire XI
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · FC Cincinnati 47% · Chicago Fire 53%
FC CincinnatiChicago Fire
Shots (on target)
13 (4)
15 (5)
Shots (in box)
6 (7)
5 (10)
Expected goals (xG)
0.94
0.68
Big chances
2
1
Pass accuracy
88%
87%
Corners
1
10
Fouls
8
13
Saves
4
2
xG race
FC Cincinnati1.00Chicago Fire0.81
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
FC Cincinnati1.0 xG · 13 shots · 2 goals
- 1′DenkeyRight foot · Fast breakOn targetxG 0.12
- 4′EvanderLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.09
- 5′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 7′EvanderRight foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.06
- 11′DenkeyRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.03
- 19′1EvanderRight foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.02
- 44′BuchaRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 50′2DenkeyLeft foot · Fast breakGoalxG 0.24
- 59′Left foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 74′DenkeyRight foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.10
- 80′DenkeyLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.07
- 80′EvanderRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.12
- 85′EngelLeft foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.07
🧤 Stopped 2 of 4 on target
Chicago Fire0.8 xG · 15 shots · 1 goal
- 14′Right foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.04
- 14′GutmanHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.02
- 19′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.01
- 22′BambaRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 28′CuypersLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.16
- 36′ZinckernagelRight foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.06
- 42′ZinckernagelLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 54′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 54′PinedaRight foot · Open playOn targetxG 0.02
- 55′1ZinckernagelLeft foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.27
- 58′BarrosoRight foot · Fast breakOn targetxG 0.03
- 66′PinedaRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 75′ZinckernagelLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.03
- 78′PinedaRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 82′GutmanLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.01
🧤 Stopped 4 of 5 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
How we rate →