How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
JQ
22′⚽1–0
RJ
31′⚽2–0
45+1′
▮Alan Francobooked
46′
⇅Y. Medinafor Alan Franco
46′
⇅A. Preciadofor Joel Ordonez
B. Gutierrezfor Gilberto Mora⇅
58′
59′
⇅K. Rodriguezfor Enner Valencia
O. Vargasfor Luis Romo⇅
73′
S. Gimenezfor Raul Jimenez⇅
74′
79′
⇅J. Caicedofor John Yeboah
79′
⇅K. Paezfor Nilson Angulo
O. Pinedafor J. Quinones⇅
80′
I. Reyesfor Roberto Alvarado⇅
80′
90+3′
▮Kendry Paezbooked
90+5′
▮Piero Hincapiesent off
90+9′
▮Moises Caicedobooked
Match stats
MexicoEcuador
Possession
43%
57%
Shots (on target)
15 (3)
7 (1)
Expected goals (xG)
1.05
0.75
Pass accuracy
78%
83%
Mexico4-3-3vs4-4-2Ecuador
Mexico XI €25M€138M Ecuador XI
Ecuador’s starting XI cost €113M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
HG
6.5Galíndez
6.5GalíndezPH
6.5Hincapié
6.5HincapiéWP
6.6Pacho
6.6Pacho
PV
6.9Vite
6.9ViteMC
7.1Caicedo
7.1CaicedoGP
6.3Plata
6.3PlataRR
7.7Rangel
7.7RangelJG
6.7Gallardo
6.7GallardoJV
7.9Vásquez
7.9VásquezCM
7.7Montes
7.7MontesJS
7.4Sánchez
7.4Sánchez
EL7.2Lira
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market value⇅ subbed off
Mexico bench
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Mexico 43% · Ecuador 57%
MexicoEcuador
Shots (on target)
15 (3)
7 (1)
Shots (in box)
10 (5)
5 (2)
Expected goals (xG)
1.05
0.75
Big chances
2
1
Pass accuracy
78%
83%
Corners
3
8
Fouls
10
14
Saves
1
1
xG race
Mexico0.99Ecuador0.73
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
Mexico1.0 xG · 15 shots · 2 goals
- 4′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 5′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 6′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 7′Header · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.20
- 14′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 15′Right foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 22′1Right foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.10
- 31′2Right foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.11
- 44′Header · AssistedOff targetxG 0.07
- 45′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 46′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 52′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 67′Header · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.06
- 67′VasquezHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.04
- 90′PinedaRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.12
🧤 Galíndez stopped 1 of 3 on target
Ecuador0.7 xG · 7 shots · 0 goals
- 18′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.17
- 40′Left foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.06
- 51′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 74′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.37
- 85′CaicedoRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.01
- 88′Header · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 89′Left foot · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.07
🧤 Rangel stopped 1 of 1 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
How we rate →
YouTubeMexico vs Ecuador Highlights 🌎🏆 2026 FIFA World Cup™ | Round of 32
youtube
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Tala Rangel great save vs Ecuador
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Tala Rangel great save vs Ecuador 39'
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Mexico celebration reaching last 16 vs Ecuador
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Hincapie red card vs Mexico
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Mexico defense and goalkeeper highlights vs Ecuador
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