How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
CN
Camiel NeghliMillwall’s chances ▲ 23%
16′⚽1–0
Alfie Doughtybooked▮
23′
Zak Norton Sturgebooked▮
38′
Tristan Cramabooked▮
41′
R. Leonardfor Billy Mitchell⇅
46′
49′⚽1–1
AR
D. McNamarafor Aidomo Emakhu⇅
55′
M. Langstafffor Raees Bangura-Williams⇅
55′
66′
⇅Neto Borgesfor Robert Atkinson
66′
⇅E. Riisfor Sinclair Armstrong
T. Ballofor Alfie Doughty⇅
73′
J. Bryanfor Zak Norton Sturge⇅
73′
ML
81′⚽2–1
Thierno Ballobooked▮
83′
87′
▮Neto Borgesbooked
88′
⇅Y. Hirakawafor Scott Twine
Match stats
MillwallBristol City
Possession
42%
58%
Shots (on target)
8 (2)
16 (3)
Expected goals (xG)
0.63
0.96
Pass accuracy
70%
79%
Millwall4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1Bristol City
Millwall XI €48M€52M Bristol City XI
Bristol City’s starting XI cost €4M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
MO6.2O'Leary
RD6.9🏴Dickie
ZV
6.3🏴Vyner
6.3🏴VynerCP6.3🏴Pring
AR8.0🏴Randell
JK6.4Knight
RM6.6🏴McCrorie
AM
6.6🇦🇱Mehmeti
6.6🇦🇱MehmetiMC6.3Crocombe
JC7.1🏴Cooper
CT6.3🏴Taylor
TC6.1🇫🇷Crama
CN7.2🇩🇿Neghli
MI6.1🇷🇸Ivanovic
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Millwall 42% · Bristol City 58%
MillwallBristol City
Shots (on target)
8 (2)
16 (3)
Shots (in box)
5 (3)
10 (6)
Expected goals (xG)
0.63
0.96
Big chances
2
0
Pass accuracy
70%
79%
Corners
1
8
Fouls
15
8
Saves
2
0
xG race
Millwall0.61Bristol City0.95
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
Millwall0.6 xG · 8 shots · 2 goals
- 16′1NeghliLeft foot · Open playGoalxG 0.07
- 48′IvanovicRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.01
- 76′Right foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.12
- 81′2Right foot · Open playGoalxG 0.24
- 88′NeghliLeft foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.04
- 89′IvanovicRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.03
- 90′BalloRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 90′IvanovicRight foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.05
🧤 O'Leary stopped 0 of 2 on target
Bristol City1.0 xG · 16 shots · 1 goal
- 8′TwineRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 28′KnightRight foot · From a throw-inOn targetxG 0.04
- 33′Right foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.16
- 35′Right foot · Fast breakOn targetxG 0.06
- 36′AtkinsonHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.08
- 42′TwineRight foot · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.02
- 49′1RandellRight foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.11
- 50′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 52′Left foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.09
- 62′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 65′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.08
- 65′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.05
- 71′KnightRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 71′TwineHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 90′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.05
- 90′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.01
🧤 Crocombe stopped 2 of 3 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
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