How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
DB
7′⚽1–0
10′
▮J. Caceresbooked
Goal Disallowed - offsideFolarin BalogunVAR
28′
FB
Folarin BalogunUSA’s chances ▲ 14%
31′⚽2–0
45′
⇅Maurício Magalhães Pradofor Damian Bobadilla
Sebastian Berhalterfor Christian Pulisic⇅
45′
FB
45′⚽3–0
Timothy Reambooked▮
50′
Card upgrade confirmedTimothy ReamVAR
52′
53′
▮Miguel Almironbooked
Tyler Adamsbooked▮
59′
62′
⇅A. Arcefor Arnaldo Sanabria
R. Pepifor Folarin Balogun⇅
72′
T. Weahfor Sergino Dest⇅
72′
73′⚽3–1
MA
79′
⇅G. Velazquezfor J. Caceres
79′
⇅R. Sosafor Miguel Almiron
79′
▮Diego Gomezbooked
80′
⇅Kakufor Diego Gomez
G. Reynafor Malik Tillman⇅
82′
88′
▮Alex Arcebooked
90+3′
▮Junior Alonsobooked
GR
90′⚽4–1
Match stats
USAParaguay
Possession
65%
35%
Shots (on target)
16 (6)
9 (1)
Expected goals (xG)
1.42
0.54
Pass accuracy
85%
73%
USA4-2-3-1vs4-4-2Paraguay
USA XI €239M€52M Paraguay XI
USA’s starting XI cost €187M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
OG
5.7Gill
5.7GillJA
5.1Alonso
5.1AlonsoOA
6.0Alderete
6.0AldereteGG
6.3Gómez
6.3Gómez
AC
5.9Cubas
5.9Cubas
JE
6.9Enciso
6.9Enciso
MF
5.6Freese
5.6FreeseAR
6.6Robinson
6.6RobinsonTR
7.9Ream
7.9ReamCR
7.1Richards
7.1RichardsAF7.1Freeman
TA
7.4Adams
7.4Adams
WM
7.7McKennie
7.7McKenniePitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market value⇅ subbed off
USA bench
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · USA 65% · Paraguay 35%
USAParaguay
Shots (on target)
16 (6)
9 (1)
Shots (in box)
13 (3)
4 (5)
Expected goals (xG)
1.42
0.54
Big chances
4
1
Pass accuracy
85%
73%
Corners
3
1
Fouls
13
17
Saves
1
3
xG race
USA1.44Paraguay0.46
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
USA1.4 xG · 17 shots · 4 goals
- 3′Right foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 7′1BobadillaRight foot · Open playGoalxG 0.10
- 31′2Right foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.16
- 35′Header · AssistedOff targetxG 0.08
- 37′Left foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.08
- 38′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 43′Right foot · Open playOn targetxG 0.28
- 45′3Left foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.14
- 47′Right foot · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.02
- 57′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.08
- 61′Right foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.06
- 75′Right foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.15
- 77′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 89′PepiLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.09
- 90′BerhalterRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 90′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.01
- 90′4Right foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.07
🧤 Gill stopped 3 of 6 on target
Paraguay0.5 xG · 9 shots · 1 goal
- 2′GomezLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 14′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 48′AlmironLeft foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.02
- 49′GomezRight foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.03
- 50′GomezRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 65′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 65′GomezRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 71′AlmironLeft foot · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.03
- 73′1MauricioLeft foot · Set pieceGoalxG 0.21
🧤 Freese stopped 1 of 1 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
How we rate →