How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
AS
8′⚽1–0
Pascal Struijkbooked▮
27′
35′
▮Bashir Humphreysbooked
37′
▮Loum Tchaounabooked
Joseph Rodonbooked▮
40′
Dominic Calvert-Lewinbooked▮
48′
NO
52′⚽2–0
54′
⇅H. Mejbrifor Joshua Laurent
DC
Dominic Calvert-LewinLeeds’s chances ▲ 4%
56′⚽3–0
65′
⇅Florentinofor James Ward-Prowse
L. Nmechafor Noah Okafor⇅
65′
65′
⇅Lucas Piresfor Quilindschy Hartman
68′
VARGoal Under Review - offsideVAR decision
68′
VARGoal Disallowed - offsideLucas Pires
71′⚽3–1
LT
Loum TchaounaBurnley’s chances ▲ 2%
B. Aaronsonfor Anton Stach⇅
72′
S. Longstafffor Ao Tanaka⇅
72′
Ethan Ampadubooked▮
75′
76′
⇅Z. Amdounifor Bashir Humphreys
76′
⇅A. Brojafor Zian Flemming
88′
▮Hannibal Mejbribooked
D. Jamesfor Jayden Bogle⇅
90+4′
W. Gnontofor Dominic Calvert-Lewin⇅
90+4′
Match stats
LeedsBurnley
Possession
48%
52%
Shots (on target)
17 (7)
9 (3)
Expected goals (xG)
1.56
0.47
Pass accuracy
79%
83%
Leeds3-5-2vs5-4-1Burnley
Leeds XI €205M€110M Burnley XI
Leeds’s starting XI cost €95M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
MD
6.6🇸🇰Dúbravka
6.6🇸🇰Dúbravka
ME
6.5🇫🇷Estève
6.5🇫🇷EstèveHE
6.6🇸🇪Ekdal
6.6🇸🇪EkdalKW
6.2🏴Walker
6.2🏴WalkerJA
6.7🏴Anthony
6.7🏴Anthony
LT7.2🇫🇷Tchaouna
7.2🇫🇷Tchaouna
KD
6.5🏴Darlow
6.5🏴DarlowPS
6.2🇳🇱Struijk
6.2🇳🇱StruijkJB
7.3🇸🇮Bijol
7.3🇸🇮BijolJR
6.3🏴Rodon
6.3🏴RodonJJ7.2🏴Justin
EA
6.2🏴Ampadu
6.2🏴Ampadu
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Leeds 48% · Burnley 52%
LeedsBurnley
Shots (on target)
17 (7)
9 (3)
Expected goals (xG)
1.56
0.47
Pass accuracy
79%
83%
Corners
5
0
Fouls
12
11
Saves
2
4
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
How we rate →