How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
2′⚽0–1
TA
10′
▮Moratobooked
Malo Gustobooked▮
14′
15′⚽0–2
IJ
45+4′
⇅N. Williamsfor Zach Abbott
L. Delapfor J. Derry⇅
45+6′
Cole Palmerpenalty missed✗
45+10′
46′
⇅M. Gibbs-Whitefor Igor Jesus
L. Colwillfor T. Adarabioyo⇅
46′
46′
⇅N. Milenkovicfor Jair
46′
⇅E. Andersonfor Nicolas Dominguez
52′⚽0–3
TA
Taiwo AwoniyiNottingham Forest’s chances ▲ 5%
Andrey Santosfor Romeo Lavia⇅
58′
66′
⇅C. Woodfor Morgan Gibbs-White
F. Jorgensenfor Robert Sanchez⇅
66′
Goal Disallowed - offsideJoao PedroVAR
73′
Moises Caicedobooked▮
78′
Liam Delapbooked▮
79′
80′
⇅O. Hutchinsonfor Dilane Bakwa
JP
90+3′⚽1–3
Match stats
ChelseaNottingham Forest
Possession
67%
33%
Shots (on target)
21 (5)
6 (4)
Expected goals (xG)
2.15
2.05
Pass accuracy
91%
80%
Chelsea4-2-3-1vs4-4-2Nottingham Forest
Chelsea XI €552M€137M Nottingham Forest XI
Chelsea’s starting XI cost €416M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
MS
7.7🇧🇪Sels
7.7🇧🇪SelsLN6.9🇩🇪Netz
MO
6.4🇧🇷Morato
6.4🇧🇷Morato
JM
6.3🏴McAtee
6.3🏴McAtee
RY
6.6🏴Yates
6.6🏴YatesTA8.8🇳🇬Awoniyi
8.8🇳🇬Awoniyi
MC
6.3🇪🇸Cucurella
6.3🇪🇸Cucurella
TC
6.3🏴Chalobah
6.3🏴ChalobahMG
5.5🇫🇷Gusto
5.5🇫🇷GustoMC
7.4🇪🇨Caicedo
7.4🇪🇨Caicedo
EF
7.7🇦🇷Fernández
7.7🇦🇷FernándezCP
5.5🏴Palmer
5.5🏴PalmerJP8.2🇧🇷Pedro
8.2🇧🇷PedroPitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Chelsea bench
Nottingham Forest bench
Williams ▲ 45′ · 6.1Milenković ▲ 46′ · 6.8Anderson ▲ 46′ · 7.2Gibbs-White ▲ 46′ · 7.2OrtegaMoreiraHutchinson ▲ 80′ · 6.3Wood ▲ 66′ · 7.1Lucca
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Chelsea 67% · Nottingham Forest 33%
ChelseaNottingham Forest
Shots (on target)
21 (5)
6 (4)
Shots (in box)
12 (9)
6 (1)
Expected goals (xG)
2.15
2.05
Big chances
2
3
Pass accuracy
91%
80%
Corners
10
1
Fouls
12
10
Saves
1
4
xG race
Chelsea1.97Nottingham Forest2.05
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
Chelsea2.0 xG · 21 shots · 1 goal
- 10′FernandezRight foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.03
- 11′FernandezRight foot · From a throw-inOff targetxG 0.02
- 18′PalmerLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 26′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 30′LaviaRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.01
- 34′FernandezRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 35′Right foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 44′GustoLeft foot · Open playOn targetxG 0.12
- 45′PalmerLeft foot · PenaltyOn targetxG 0.82
- 51′Left foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.05
- 71′SantosRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 73′DelapRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.08
- 84′DelapLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.08
- 85′PalmerRight foot · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.02
- 86′PedroHeader · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.04
- 88′PalmerRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 88′FernandezLeft foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 90′1PedroRight foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.26
- 90′PalmerLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 90′ChalobahHeader · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.11
- 90′FernandezRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
🧤 Sels stopped 4 of 5 on target
Nottingham Forest2.1 xG · 6 shots · 3 goals
- 2′1AwoniyiHeader · AssistedGoalxG 0.20
- 15′2JesusRight foot · PenaltyGoalxG 0.82
- 33′JesusLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 36′Left foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.08
- 52′3AwoniyiLeft foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.85
- 59′Left foot · Open playOff targetxG 0.06
🧤 Sánchez stopped 1 of 4 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
PitchMog Match Rating is our 0–10 score for how a player performed in this match. Any value we cannot back with real match data is left blank.
How we rate →
HighlightsPremier League: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
youtube
HighlightsPremier League: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
youtube
Highlights
Premier League: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
reddit
Highlights
Premier League: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
reddit
Highlights
Premier League: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
reddit