How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
TO
22′⚽1–0
AM
Anselmo MacNultyPEC Zwolle’s chances ▲ 7%
24′⚽2–0
OV
Odysseus VelanasPEC Zwolle’s chances ▲ 7%
24′⚽3–0
Tristan Gooijerbooked▮
39′
N. Fichtingerfor Odysseus Velanas⇅
58′
K. de Rooijfor Ryan Thomas⇅
58′
Nick Fichtingerbooked▮
60′
62′
▮Denis Odoibooked
67′⚽3–1
CB
Charles-Andreas BrymNAC Breda’s chances ▲ 14%
67′⚽3–2
MN
68′
⇅A. Ayewfor Amine Salama
68′
⇅J. Talvitiefor Charles-Andreas Brym
68′
⇅B. Ghalidifor Raul Paula
O. Aertssenfor Thijs Oosting⇅
79′
82′
⇅P. Reulenfor Rio Hillen
87′
⇅E. Mahmutovicfor Maximilien Balard
D. van der Haarfor Sherel Floranus⇅
87′
Match stats
PEC ZwolleNAC Breda
Possession
44%
56%
Shots (on target)
8 (2)
20 (6)
Expected goals (xG)
0.82
1.04
Pass accuracy
73%
81%
PEC Zwolle4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle XI €11M€6M NAC Breda XI
PEC Zwolle’s starting XI cost €5M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
DB5.9🇵🇱Bielica
BK6.6🇳🇱Kemper
FJ6.3🇳🇴Jensen
DO
6.9🇬🇭Odoi
6.9🇬🇭OdoiCL6.3🇳🇱Leemans
MN7.1🇳🇱Nassoh
TG6.6🇳🇱Graaff
AM6.9McNulty
TV6.8🇳🇱Velthuis
TG6.6🇳🇱Gooijer
ZB6.9🇳🇱Buurmeester
YN
7.2🇩🇰Namli
7.2🇩🇰NamliKK6.8🇳🇱Kostons
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · PEC Zwolle 44% · NAC Breda 56%
PEC ZwolleNAC Breda
Shots (on target)
8 (2)
20 (6)
Shots (in box)
5 (3)
12 (8)
Expected goals (xG)
0.82
1.04
Big chances
1
2
Pass accuracy
73%
81%
Corners
2
5
Fouls
20
14
Saves
5
0
xG race
PEC Zwolle0.82NAC Breda1.04
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
PEC Zwolle0.8 xG · 8 shots · 2 goals
- 6′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.01
- 10′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.01
- 19′Left foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 22′1OostingHeader · AssistedGoalxG 0.31
- 24′Left foot · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.12
- 24′2Right foot · Set pieceGoalxG 0.10
- 53′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.22
- 64′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
🧤 Bielica stopped 0 of 2 on target
NAC Breda1.0 xG · 20 shots · 1 goal
- 7′BrymHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.11
- 12′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 18′Left foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.02
- 27′Right foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 36′Left foot · Free kickOff targetxG 0.05
- 41′BrymLeft foot · Set pieceOn targetxG 0.01
- 49′Left foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.01
- 50′BrymRight foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.01
- 50′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.03
- 55′Left foot · Fast breakOff targetxG 0.03
- 67′1NassohHeader · From a throw-inGoalxG 0.08
- 77′Header · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.13
- 80′NassohLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 82′NassohRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 86′Left foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.04
- 86′ReulenLeft foot · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.04
- 89′Left foot · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.02
- 90′Header · AssistedOff targetxG 0.11
- 90′Header · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 90′Header · AssistedOn targetxG 0.15
🧤 Graaff stopped 5 of 6 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
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