How it swung
Modeled from the scoreline, clock and pre-match Aura. Each goal resets the odds.
Key moments
28′
▮Johnny Cardosobooked
33′⚽0–1
AL
Ademola LookmanAtletico Madrid’s chances ▲ 26%
36′
▮Matteo Ruggeribooked
46′
⇅J. M. Gimenezfor Robin Le Normand
VJ
52′⚽1–1
FV
Federico ValverdeReal Madrid’s chances ▲ 28%
55′⚽2–1
57′
⇅A. Sorlothfor Antoine Griezmann
57′
⇅N. Gonzalezfor Johnny Cardoso
57′
⇅N. Molinafor Ademola Lookman
61′
▮David Hanckobooked
Thiago Pitarchbooked▮
63′
K. Mbappefor Thiago Pitarch⇅
63′
T. Alexander-Arnoldfor Dani Carvajal⇅
63′
66′⚽2–2
NM
68′
▮Marcos Llorentebooked
71′
⇅A. Baenafor Giuliano Simeone
VJ
72′⚽3–2
J. Bellinghamfor Arda Guler⇅
74′
E. Camavingafor Brahim Diaz⇅
74′
Federico Valverdesent off▮
77′
A. Carrerasfor Vinicius Junior⇅
87′
Match stats
Real MadridAtletico Madrid
Possession
53%
47%
Shots (on target)
17 (10)
13 (7)
Expected goals (xG)
2.42
1.00
Pass accuracy
91%
89%
Real Madrid4-4-2vs4-4-2Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid XI €584M€324M Atletico Madrid XI
Real Madrid’s starting XI cost €261M more to assemble. Each chip is a player’s market value.
JM5.6🇦🇷Musso
MR5.6🇮🇹Ruggeri
DH5.6🇸🇰Hancko
ML
6.3🇪🇸Llorente
6.3🇪🇸LlorenteKO
6.2🇪🇸Koke
6.2🇪🇸Koke
JA7.7🇦🇷Alvarez
AL7.4🇺🇦Lunin
FG
6.1🇪🇸García
6.1🇪🇸GarcíaDH7.4🇳🇱Huijsen
AR6.3🇩🇪Rüdiger
AT7.4🇫🇷Tchouaméni
FV7.7🇺🇾Valverde
PitchMog
8.5+ great7.0+ solid6.0+ avgunder 6★ POTM⇅ subbed off
dark chip = market valueflag = nationality⇅ subbed off
Real Madrid bench
GonzálezMestreAlexander-Arnold ▲ 63′ · 6.3AlabaCarreras ▲ 87′ · 6.7AguadoCamavinga ▲ 74′ · 6.8MoránBellingham ▲ 74′ · 6.4Mbappé ▲ 63′ · 6.6MastantuonoGarcía
Match stats
Ball share over the 90 · Real Madrid 53% · Atletico Madrid 47%
Real MadridAtletico Madrid
Shots (on target)
17 (10)
13 (7)
Shots (in box)
8 (9)
7 (6)
Expected goals (xG)
2.42
1.00
Big chances
4
2
Pass accuracy
91%
89%
Corners
4
1
Fouls
2
15
Saves
5
5
xG race
Real Madrid2.66Atletico Madrid0.96
Totals here sum this match’s shots, so they can sit a fraction off the provider’s xG figure above.
Shot map
Real Madrid2.7 xG · 17 shots · 3 goals
- 3′Right foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.12
- 9′ValverdeRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 14′GulerLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.05
- 22′JuniorRight foot · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.51
- 22′TchouameniRight foot · Set pieceOff targetxG 0.01
- 22′JuniorRight foot · From a cornerOn targetxG 0.38
- 24′JuniorRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.02
- 29′ValverdeRight foot · Set pieceOn targetxG 0.03
- 42′TchouameniHeader · AssistedOff targetxG 0.04
- 44′GulerLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.02
- 52′1JuniorRight foot · PenaltyGoalxG 0.82
- 55′2ValverdeRight foot · Open playGoalxG 0.36
- 55′Header · From a cornerOff targetxG 0.12
- 62′ValverdeRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.04
- 72′3JuniorRight foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.04
- 83′Alexander-ArnoldRight foot · Free kickOn targetxG 0.04
- 90′GarciaLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.01
🧤 Musso stopped 5 of 10 on target
Atletico Madrid1.0 xG · 13 shots · 2 goals
- 8′GriezmannLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.07
- 9′LlorenteLeft foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.09
- 12′SimeoneRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.02
- 31′LookmanRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 33′1LookmanRight foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.39
- 60′AlvarezRight foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.05
- 65′AlvarezRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 66′2MolinaRight foot · AssistedGoalxG 0.02
- 81′AlvarezRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 90′AlvarezRight foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.03
- 90′AlvarezLeft foot · AssistedOff targetxG 0.06
- 90′SørlothHeader · AssistedOn targetxG 0.06
- 90′Right foot · AssistedOn targetxG 0.02
🧤 Lunin stopped 5 of 7 on target
1numbered = goal, matches the liston targetoff targetdot size = chance quality (xG)
Player ratings
How we rate
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